Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Birmingham vs Coventry

Birmingham vs Coventry ended 3-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-04 12:00 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park Regular Season - 26
Full Time
Birmingham

Birmingham

M. Ducksch6'
L. Koumas17'
M. Ducksch63'
3 - 2
Final score
Coventry

Coventry

8'J. Eccles
60'E. Simms
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Birmingham beat Coventry 3-2.

Goals: M. Ducksch (Birmingham, 6'), J. Eccles (Coventry, 8'), L. Koumas (Birmingham, 17'), E. Simms (Coventry, 60'), M. Ducksch (Birmingham, 63').

Birmingham had 24% possession to Coventry's 76%, with 9.00 shots to 17.00.

M. Ducksch (Birmingham) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

6'
M. DuckschK. Wagner
Birmingham
8'
J. EcclesE. Mason-Clark
Coventry
17'
L. KoumasP. Roberts
Birmingham
36'
Marvin DuckschYellow Card
Birmingham
51'
Kai WagnerYellow Card
Birmingham
60'
E. SimmsJ. Rudoni
Coventry
63'
M. DuckschP. Roberts
Birmingham
65'
Out: L. KoumasIn: E. Cashin
Birmingham
67'
Out: T. SakamotoIn: H. Wright
Coventry
71'
Out: K. WagnerIn: A. Sampsted
Birmingham
72'
Out: P. RobertsIn: W. T. Willumsson
Birmingham
72'
Out: M. DuckschIn: K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
86'
Josh EcclesYellow Card
Coventry
88'
James BeadleYellow Card
Birmingham
89'
Out: J. EcclesIn: K. Andrews
Coventry
90+3'
Out: J. StansfieldIn: K. Fujimoto
Birmingham
90+5'
Bobby ThomasRed Card
Coventry
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Birmingham
Statistic
Coventry
24%
Possession
76%
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
9
3
Blocked Shots
2
6
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Shots Outside Box
6
2
Corners
6
4
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
8
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
170
Total Passes
514
83
Accurate Passes
428
49%
Pass Accuracy
83%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
1.27
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
-1.05
Goals Prevented
-1.05
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
M. Ducksch
Birmingham

M. Ducksch

Rating 8.3 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Birmingham

P. Roberts

Rating 7.7 · 0 G · 2 A · 0 SOT

3
Coventry

J. Eccles

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Coventry

E. Simms

Rating 7.7 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

5
Birmingham

L. Koumas

Rating 7.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Coventry

M. Grimes

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 3 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 3-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Birmingham win

Final result: Birmingham won

41% probability
Total Goals Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 5 goals (3-2).

62% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

63% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Birmingham vs Coventry match analysis

Review Birmingham 3-2 Coventry with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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