Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton vs Aston Villa ended 3-4. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-03 19:30 Amex Stadium Regular Season - 14
Full Time
Brighton

Brighton

J. P. van Hecke9'
P. Torres29'
J. P. van Hecke83'
3 - 4
Final score
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

37'O. Watkins
45'O. Watkins
60'A. Onana
78'D. Malen
Team pageBrighton CompetitionPremier League Team pageAston Villa
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Aston Villa beat Brighton 4-3.

Goals: J. P. van Hecke (Brighton, 9'), P. Torres (Brighton, 29'), O. Watkins (Aston Villa, 37'), O. Watkins (Aston Villa, 45'), A. Onana (Aston Villa, 60'), D. Malen (Aston Villa, 78'), J. P. van Hecke (Brighton, 83').

Brighton had 56% possession to Aston Villa's 44%, with 16.00 shots to 14.00.

O. Watkins (Aston Villa) was the standout performer, rated 8.6.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

9'
J. P. van HeckeM. Wieffer
Brighton
24'
Out: S. TzimasIn: J. Hinshelwood
Brighton
29'
P. TorresOwn Goal
Brighton
37'
O. WatkinsE. Guessand
Aston Villa
45'
O. WatkinsM. Rogers
Aston Villa
45+8'
Bart VerbruggenYellow Card
Brighton
60'
A. OnanaM. Cash
Aston Villa
67'
Out: F. KadiogluIn: D. Welbeck
Brighton
70'
Out: B. KamaraIn: Y. Tielemans
Aston Villa
70'
Out: I. MaatsenIn: L. Digne
Aston Villa
75'
John McGinnYellow Card
Aston Villa
77'
Out: B. GrudaIn: C. Kostoulas
Brighton
77'
Out: J. McGinnIn: D. Malen
Aston Villa
78'
Out: C. BalebaIn: J. Veltman
Brighton
78'
D. MalenNormal Goal
Aston Villa
83'
J. P. van HeckeJ. Hinshelwood
Brighton
85'
Diego GómezYellow Card
Brighton
86'
Out: E. GuessandIn: L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
86'
Out: O. WatkinsIn: E. Buendia
Aston Villa
90+5'
Marco BizotYellow Card
Aston Villa
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Brighton
Statistic
Aston Villa
56%
Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
10
6
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Shots Outside Box
2
5
Corners
6
4
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
473
Total Passes
362
404
Accurate Passes
300
85%
Pass Accuracy
83%
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2.21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
-0.81
Goals Prevented
-0.81
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
O. Watkins
Aston Villa

O. Watkins

Rating 8.6 · 2 goals · 0 assists · 3 shots on target

4
Aston Villa

A. Onana

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Aston Villa

D. Malen

Rating 6.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

6
Aston Villa

M. Cash

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 3-4 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Brighton win

Final result: Aston Villa won

51% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 7 goals (3-4).

57% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

53% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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MATCH ANALYSIS

Brighton vs Aston Villa match analysis

Review Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Premier League.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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