Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Derby vs Wrexham

Derby vs Wrexham ended 1-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-04 15:00 Pride Park Regular Season - 26
Full Time
Derby

Derby

B. Brereton Diaz34'
1 - 2
Final score
Wrexham

Wrexham

25'S. Smith
48'M. James
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Wrexham beat Derby 2-1.

Goals: S. Smith (Wrexham, 25'), B. Brereton Diaz (Derby, 34'), M. James (Wrexham, 48').

Derby had 52% possession to Wrexham's 48%, with 13.00 shots to 11.00.

M. James (Wrexham) was the standout performer, rated 8.3.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

25'
S. SmithN. Broadhead
Wrexham
30'
Max CleworthYellow Card
Wrexham
34'
B. Brereton DiazM. Clarke
Derby
48'
M. JamesNormal Goal
Wrexham
60'
Out: C. ElderIn: C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
60'
Out: P. AgyemangIn: A. Weimann
Derby
60'
Out: R. BrewsterIn: L. Salvesen
Derby
60'
Out: L. ThompsonIn: L. Travis
Derby
66'
Out: J. WindassIn: O. Rathbone
Wrexham
68'
Matty JamesYellow Card
Wrexham
73'
Dion SandersonYellow Card
Derby
75'
Out: N. BroadheadIn: L. O'Brien
Wrexham
81'
Out: D. SandersonIn: K. Jackson
Derby
90'
Out: G. ThomasonIn: L. Cacace
Wrexham
90'
Out: S. SmithIn: J. Rodriguez
Wrexham
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Derby
Statistic
Wrexham
52%
Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Shots Outside Box
5
12
Corners
2
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
435
Total Passes
411
351
Accurate Passes
327
81%
Pass Accuracy
80%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
0.74
Goals Prevented
0.74
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
M. James
Wrexham

M. James

Rating 8.3 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

3
Wrexham

A. Okonkwo

Rating 7.0 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

4
Wrexham

S. Smith

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Derby

M. Clarke

Rating 6.7 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 1 of 2 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Wrexham win

Final result: Wrexham won

38% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (1-2).

59% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

53% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Derby vs Wrexham match analysis

Review Derby 1-2 Wrexham with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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