Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Estrela vs Arouca

Estrela vs Arouca ended 3-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-07 18:00 Estádio José Gomes Regular Season - 13
Full Time
Estrela

Estrela

Kikas29'
A. Marcus34'
Rodrigo Pinho89'
3 - 1
Final score
Arouca

Arouca

59'T. Fukui
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Estrela beat Arouca 3-1.

Goals: Kikas (Estrela, 29'), A. Marcus (Estrela, 34'), T. Fukui (Arouca, 59'), Rodrigo Pinho (Estrela, 89').

Estrela had 63% possession to Arouca's 37%, with 24.00 shots to 9.00.

A. Marcus (Estrela) was the standout performer, rated 8.2.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

26'
Alex PintoCard upgrade
Arouca
28'
Alex PintoRed Card
Arouca
29'
KikasI. Stoica
Estrela
34'
A. MarcusI. Stoica
Estrela
45'
Oumar NgomYellow Card
Estrela
51'
Espen Van EeYellow Card
Arouca
51'
Naïs DjouahraYellow Card
Arouca
59'
T. FukuiNormal Goal
Arouca
62'
Out: E. van EeIn: Pedro Santos
Arouca
66'
Taichi FukuiCard upgrade
Arouca
68'
Taichi FukuiRed Card
Arouca
68'
Out: JovaneIn: Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
73'
Out: OtavioIn: Robinho
Estrela
73'
Out: O. NgomIn: J. Encada
Estrela
73'
Out: A. TrezzaIn: H. Lee
Arouca
82'
Out: KikasIn: L. Antonetti
Estrela
82'
Out: I. StoicaIn: J. Meireles
Estrela
82'
Out: D. NandinIn: I. Barbero
Arouca
85'
Pedro SantosYellow Card
Arouca
89'
Rodrigo PinhoJ. Meireles
Estrela
90+7'
Hyun-ju LeeYellow Card
Arouca
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Estrela
Statistic
Arouca
63%
Possession
37%
24
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
4
8
Blocked Shots
3
16
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Shots Outside Box
3
5
Corners
3
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
2
454
Total Passes
264
395
Accurate Passes
198
87%
Pass Accuracy
75%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
3.27
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
-0.04
Goals Prevented
-0.04
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
A. Marcus
Estrela

A. Marcus

Rating 8.2 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

2
Estrela

Kikas

Rating 7.9 · 1 G · 0 A · 3 SOT

3
Estrela

I. Stoica

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 2 A · 0 SOT

5
Arouca

N. Mantl

Rating 6.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

6
Arouca

T. Fukui

Rating 7.0 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review 3 of 3 evaluated markets correct Correct calls: 1X2, Total Goals, BTTS.
Predicted score 2-1 Actual score 3-1 Confidence Medium
1X2 Hit

Estrela win

Final result: Estrela won

60% probability
Total Goals Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (3-1).

69% probability
Both Teams to Score Hit

Yes

Both teams scored.

65% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
FINAL RESULT

Estrela vs Arouca match analysis

Review Estrela 3-1 Arouca with the final result, goals, events, lineups and detailed team statistics.

Final result Goals Events Lineups Team statistics Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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