Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Leicester vs Derby

Leicester vs Derby ended 2-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-29 19:45 King Power Stadium Regular Season - 24
Full Time
Leicester

Leicester

B. De Cordova-Reid6'
J. James41'
2 - 1
Final score
Derby

Derby

9'R. Brewster
Team pageLeicester CompetitionChampionship Team pageDerby
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Leicester beat Derby 2-1.

Goals: B. De Cordova-Reid (Leicester, 6'), R. Brewster (Derby, 9'), J. James (Leicester, 41').

Leicester had 45% possession to Derby's 55%, with 8.00 shots to 9.00.

B. De Cordova-Reid (Leicester) was the standout performer, rated 7.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

6'
B. De Cordova-ReidI. Fatawu
Leicester
9'
R. BrewsterC. Elder
Derby
41'
J. JamesL. Thomas
Leicester
51'
Out: H. ChoudhuryIn: R. Pereira
Leicester
65'
Out: J. AyewIn: S. Thomas
Leicester
65'
Out: B. De Cordova-ReidIn: A. Ramsey
Leicester
67'
Out: R. BrewsterIn: C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
67'
Out: B. Brereton DiazIn: L. Salvesen
Derby
69'
Out: UnknownIn: L. Page
Leicester
69'
Out: I. FatawuIn: J. Monga
Leicester
73'
Out: B. ClarkIn: A. Weimann
Derby
83'
Jordan JamesYellow Card
Leicester
89'
Out: C. ElderIn: K. Jackson
Derby
89'
Out: E. AdamsIn: L. Travis
Derby
90+6'
Kayden JacksonYellow Card
Derby
90+6'
Liam ThompsonYellow Card
Derby
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Leicester
Statistic
Derby
45%
Possession
55%
8
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
5
2
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Shots Outside Box
2
3
Corners
4
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
357
Total Passes
437
269
Accurate Passes
340
75%
Pass Accuracy
78%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
-1.21
Goals Prevented
-1.21
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester

B. De Cordova-Reid

Rating 7.7 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

3
Leicester

J. James

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

4
Leicester

L. Thomas

Rating 7.2 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

5
Derby

C. Elder

Rating 6.9 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

6
Leicester

A. Fatawu

Rating 6.7 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 2-1 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Derby win

Final result: Leicester won

39% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (2-1).

51% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
KEEP EXPLORING

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FINAL RESULT

Leicester vs Derby match analysis

Review Leicester 2-1 Derby with the final result, goals, events, lineups and detailed team statistics.

Final result Goals Events Lineups Team statistics Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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