Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Moreirense

Nacional vs Moreirense ended 3-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-04 14:30 Estádio da Madeira Regular Season - 8
Full Time
Nacional

Nacional

J. Ramirez21'
Leo Santos59'
J. Ramirez84'
3 - 2
Final score
Moreirense

Moreirense

4'V. Sousa
56'Kiko
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Nacional beat Moreirense 3-2.

Goals: V. Sousa (Moreirense, 4'), J. Ramirez (Nacional, 21'), Kiko (Moreirense, 56'), Leo Santos (Nacional, 59'), J. Ramirez (Nacional, 84').

Nacional had 58% possession to Moreirense's 42%, with 17.00 shots to 10.00.

Léo Santos (Nacional) was the standout performer, rated 8.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

4'
V. SousaD. Pinto
Moreirense
15'
MaracásYellow Card
Moreirense
19'
Jesús RamírezPenalty confirmed
Nacional
21'
J. RamirezPenalty
Nacional
30'
Yan MaranhãoYellow Card
Moreirense
50'
Ze VitorYellow Card
Nacional
56'
KikoYan Maranhao
Moreirense
59'
Leo SantosLiziero
Nacional
62'
Vasco SousaRed Card
Moreirense
70'
Out: AlanzinhoIn: Bernardo
Moreirense
70'
Out: Kiko BondosoIn: G. Batista
Moreirense
70'
Out: Yan MaranhaoIn: Landerson
Moreirense
72'
Mateja StjepanovićYellow Card
Moreirense
76'
Out: C. LabidiIn: F. Soares
Nacional
81'
Out: Pablo RuanIn: Witi
Nacional
84'
J. RamirezPenalty
Nacional
85'
Out: TravassosIn: C. Teguia
Moreirense
90+1'
Out: LizieroIn: A. Sousa
Nacional
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Nacional
Statistic
Moreirense
58%
Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Shots Outside Box
2
2
Corners
4
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
360
Total Passes
260
296
Accurate Passes
201
82%
Pass Accuracy
77%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2.73
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
-0.35
Goals Prevented
-0.35
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
Léo Santos
Nacional

Léo Santos

Rating 8.7 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

3
Nacional

Liziero

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

4
Moreirense

Maranhão

Rating 7.0 · 0 G · 1 A · 1 SOT

5
Moreirense

Kiko

Rating 6.7 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Moreirense

Marcelo

Rating 7.5 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 3-2 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Moreirense win

Final result: Nacional won

45% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 5 goals (3-2).

50% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Moreirense match analysis

Review Nacional 3-2 Moreirense with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Primeira Liga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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