Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional

Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional ended 1-3. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-12 01:10 Estadio Palogrande Clausura - 1
Full Time
Once Caldas

Once Caldas

D. Moreno60'
1 - 3
Final score
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

13'J. Castro
48'A. Morelos
69'I. Rojas
Team pageOnce Caldas CompetitionPrimera A Team pageAtletico Nacional
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Atletico Nacional beat Once Caldas 3-1.

Goals: J. Castro (Atletico Nacional, 13'), A. Morelos (Atletico Nacional, 48'), D. Moreno (Once Caldas, 60'), I. Rojas (Atletico Nacional, 69').

Once Caldas had 39% possession to Atletico Nacional's 61%, with 11.00 shots to 17.00.

A. Morelos (Atletico Nacional) was the standout performer, rated 7.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

10'
Efraín NavarroYellow Card
Once Caldas
13'
J. CastroNormal Goal
Atletico Nacional
46'
Out: E. NavarroIn: Y. Valencia
Once Caldas
46'
Out: J. DiazIn: D. Quinones
Once Caldas
48'
A. MorelosM. Uribe
Atletico Nacional
56'
Dayro MorenoYellow Card
Once Caldas
58'
Déinner QuiñonesPenalty confirmed
Once Caldas
60'
D. MorenoPenalty
Once Caldas
65'
Jorge CardonaYellow Card
Once Caldas
69'
I. RojasOwn Goal
Atletico Nacional
70'
Out: J. A. Zapata RamirezIn: E. Beltran
Once Caldas
76'
Out: A. SarmientoIn: B. Arce
Atletico Nacional
77'
Juan PatiñoYellow Card
Once Caldas
77'
William TesilloYellow Card
Atletico Nacional
83'
Matheus UribeRed card cancelled
Atletico Nacional
85'
Matheus UribeYellow Card
Atletico Nacional
85'
Out: L. SanchezIn: T. Rojas
Once Caldas
85'
Out: I. RojasIn: J. Garcia
Once Caldas
87'
Out: J. CastroIn: C. Uribe
Atletico Nacional
87'
Out: M. UribeIn: E. Rivero
Atletico Nacional
90+2'
Yeiler ValenciaYellow Card
Once Caldas
90+4'
Out: A. MorelosIn: D. Asprilla
Atletico Nacional
90+5'
Out: E. CardonaIn: J. Rosa
Atletico Nacional
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Once Caldas
Statistic
Atletico Nacional
39%
Possession
61%
11
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
6
1
Blocked Shots
4
4
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Shots Outside Box
6
2
Corners
7
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
9
5
Yellow Cards
2
330
Total Passes
522
283
Accurate Passes
458
86%
Pass Accuracy
88%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
1.20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
A. Morelos
Atletico Nacional

A. Morelos

Rating 7.7 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 2 shots on target

2
Atletico Nacional

J. Castro

Rating 7.7 · 1 G · 0 A · 2 SOT

5
Atletico Nacional

M. Uribe

Rating 7.7 · 0 G · 1 A · 0 SOT

6
Once Caldas

D. Moreno

Rating 7.2 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-3 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Once Caldas win

Final result: Atletico Nacional won

42% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 4 goals (1-3).

57% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

No

Both teams scored.

52% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
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MATCH ANALYSIS

Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional match analysis

Review Once Caldas 1-3 Atletico Nacional with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Primera A.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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