Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Southampton vs Stoke City

Southampton vs Stoke City ended 1-2. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Championship 2025-08-23 14:00 St. Mary's Stadium Regular Season - 3
Full Time
Southampton

Southampton

T. Harwood-Bellis79'
1 - 2
Final score
Stoke City

Stoke City

54'L. Baker
76'S. Thomas
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Stoke City beat Southampton 2-1.

Goals: L. Baker (Stoke City, 54'), S. Thomas (Stoke City, 76'), T. Harwood-Bellis (Southampton, 79').

Southampton had 65% possession to Stoke City's 35%, with 18.00 shots to 12.00.

S. Thomas (Stoke City) was the standout performer, rated 7.9.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

21'
Out: WelingtonIn: R. Manning
Southampton
25'
Junior TchamadeuYellow Card
Stoke City
28'
Divin MubamaYellow Card
Stoke City
45+3'
Tatsuki SekoYellow Card
Stoke City
46'
Out: A. ArmstrongIn: D. Downs
Southampton
54'
L. BakerNormal Goal
Stoke City
57'
Nathan WoodYellow Card
Southampton
59'
Divin MubamaYellow Card
Stoke City
59'
Divin MubamaRed Card
Stoke City
68'
Out: N. WoodIn: R. Stewart
Southampton
71'
Viktor JohanssonYellow Card
Stoke City
71'
Out: J. BaeIn: E. Bocat
Stoke City
71'
Out: T. SekoIn: A. Phillips
Stoke City
76'
S. ThomasV. Johansson
Stoke City
79'
Out: S. CharlesIn: M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Southampton
79'
Out: J. RobinsonIn: C. Archer
Southampton
79'
T. Harwood-BellisM. Fernandes
Southampton
81'
Out: M. ManhoefIn: R. Bozenik
Stoke City
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Southampton
Statistic
Stoke City
65%
Possession
35%
18
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
4
6
Blocked Shots
4
13
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Shots Outside Box
5
7
Corners
3
2
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
457
Total Passes
257
396
Accurate Passes
189
87%
Pass Accuracy
74%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
2.59
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
-0.44
Goals Prevented
-0.44
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
S. Thomas
Stoke City

S. Thomas

Rating 7.9 · 1 goals · 0 assists · 1 shots on target

3
Southampton

R. Manning

Rating 7.9 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

5
Stoke City

L. Baker

Rating 7.0 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Southampton

R. Fraser

Rating 7.6 · 0 G · 0 A · 0 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct Results are compared with the stored pre-match model output.
Predicted score 1-0 Actual score 1-2 Confidence Medium
1X2 Miss

Southampton win

Final result: Stoke City won

53% probability
Total Goals Miss

Under 2.5 goals

Final: 3 goals (1-2).

62% probability
Both Teams to Score Miss

No

Both teams scored.

58% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
MATCH ANALYSIS

Southampton vs Stoke City match analysis

Review Southampton 1-2 Stoke City with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Championship.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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