Match Analysis

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg ended 1-1. Read the match story, decisive moments, lineups, player highlights, xG and full team statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-09 16:00 Merkur-Arena Regular Season - 13
Full Time
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

L. Grgic46'
1 - 1
Final score
Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg

65'Y. Vertessen
Team pageSturm Graz CompetitionBundesliga Team pageRed Bull Salzburg
MATCH STORY

How the match unfolded

Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg played out a 1-1 draw.

Goals: L. Grgic (Sturm Graz, 46'), Y. Vertessen (Red Bull Salzburg, 65').

Sturm Graz had 45% possession to Red Bull Salzburg's 55%, with 18.00 shots to 11.00.

A. Schlager (Red Bull Salzburg) was the standout performer, rated 7.7.

KEY MOMENTS

Match events timeline

43'
Edmund BaidooGoal cancelled
Red Bull Salzburg
44'
Petar RatkovYellow Card
Red Bull Salzburg
46'
L. GrgicO. Kiteishvili
Sturm Graz
61'
Out: M. MaloneIn: A. Kayombo
Sturm Graz
62'
Out: C. BischoffIn: Y. Vertessen
Red Bull Salzburg
62'
Out: S. KitanoIn: M. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
65'
Y. VertessenM. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
66'
Stefan LainerYellow Card
Red Bull Salzburg
72'
Out: S. LainerIn: T. Trummer
Red Bull Salzburg
75'
Out: T. ChukwuaniIn: F. Rozga
Sturm Graz
75'
Out: L. GrgicIn: S. Jatta
Sturm Graz
81'
Soumaïla DiabatéYellow Card
Red Bull Salzburg
82'
Out: A. MalicIn: J. Mitchell
Sturm Graz
82'
Out: O. KiteishviliIn: J. Hodl
Sturm Graz
83'
Out: M. KjaergaardIn: M. Bidstrup
Red Bull Salzburg
83'
Out: E. BaidooIn: E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
90+4'
Jeyland MitchellYellow Card
Sturm Graz
TEAM DATA

Match statistics

Sturm Graz
Statistic
Red Bull Salzburg
45%
Possession
55%
18
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
4
1
Blocked Shots
4
7
Shots Inside Box
8
11
Shots Outside Box
3
3
Corners
3
3
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
3
353
Total Passes
434
256
Accurate Passes
324
73%
Pass Accuracy
75%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
TEAM SHEETS

Starting lineups and substitutes

PLAYER IMPACT

Data-based man of the match and player highlights

Top-rated player
A. Schlager
Red Bull Salzburg

A. Schlager

Rating 7.7 · 0 goals · 0 assists · 0 shots on target

2
Red Bull Salzburg

Y. Vertessen

Rating 7.7 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

5
Sturm Graz

L. Grgić

Rating 6.3 · 1 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

6
Red Bull Salzburg

J. Rasmussen

Rating 7.3 · 0 G · 0 A · 1 SOT

MODEL REVIEW

Prediction vs actual result

Prediction review No evaluated market was correct A 50% probability is treated as neutral, not as a successful prediction.
Predicted score 1-1 Actual score 1-1 Confidence Low
1X2 Miss

Red Bull Salzburg win

Final result: Draw

53% probability
Total Goals Neutral

Over 2.5 goals

Final: 2 goals (1-1).

54% probability
Both Teams to Score Neutral

Yes

Both teams scored.

54% probability
Open the original pre-match analysis
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MATCH ANALYSIS

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg match analysis

Review Sturm Graz 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg with the match story, goals, events, lineups, player highlights and detailed team statistics from Bundesliga.

Final score Goals Events Lineups Team statistics
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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