Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-01-10
14:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Köln
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
25%
2
43%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Heidenheim (Home)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
1. FC Köln (Away)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
1. FC Köln
LLDLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
82%
53%
+1.5
24%
18%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Köln averages 1.12 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 4
May 2026
1. FC Heidenheim(A)
3 - 1
1. FC Köln
Home
Jan 2026
1. FC Heidenheim
2 - 2
1. FC Köln
Draw
May 2024
1. FC Heidenheim
4 - 1
1. FC Köln
Home
Jan 2024
1. FC Heidenheim(A)
1 - 1
1. FC Köln
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
1. FC Heidenheim — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Heidenheim — scoring streak (home)0
1. FC Köln — winless run (away)13
1. FC Köln — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Heidenheim Win (1)32%
Draw (X)25%
1. FC Köln Win (2)43%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
82%
53%
+1.5
24%
18%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
18%
47%
-1.5
76%
82%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (home)2.18
1. FC Köln — scored (away)1.12
1. FC Köln — conceded (away)1.94
Model expected combined goals2.88
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (home)59%
1. FC Köln — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Heidenheim (home)
Corners for4.6
Corners against4.5
1. FC Köln (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Heidenheim
9
12
18
10
9
1. FC Köln
13
7
7
10
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Heidenheim (home)
For1.3
1. FC Köln (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (home)11.5
1. FC Köln — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (home)3.9
1. FC Köln — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Heidenheim
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53
1. FC Köln
Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4
Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim
B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots 1. FC Köln
S. El Mala
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Kamiński
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Ache
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target21%
L. Waldschmidt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Bülter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Heidenheim xG (home)1.41
1. FC Köln xG (away)1.53
Average Possession
42.26%
Possession
47.09%
Team Comparison 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln
75.88%
Pass accuracy
80.12%
362.38
Passes per match
408.32
-0.01
Goals prevented
0.08
9.82
Fouls committed
8.32
3.38
Goalkeeper saves
2.79
2.06
Offsides
1.91
15.41
Tackles per match
14.21
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights