Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-09-27 13:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Augsburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1. FC Heidenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

FC Augsburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
FC Augsburg
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while FC Augsburg averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Away
Sep 2025 1. FC Heidenheim 2 - 1 FC Augsburg Home
Jan 2025 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 1 - 2 FC Augsburg Away
Sep 2024 1. FC Heidenheim 4 - 0 FC Augsburg Home
Mar 2024 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Away

In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

1. FC Heidenheim — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Heidenheim — scoring streak (home)0
FC Augsburg — winless run (away)1
FC Augsburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1. FC Heidenheim Win (1)38%
Draw (X)23%
FC Augsburg Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%
47% -1.5 65%
82% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (home)2.18
FC Augsburg — scored (away)1.18
FC Augsburg — conceded (away)1.94
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (home)59%
FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.5

FC Augsburg (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1. FC Heidenheim
9 12 18 10 9
FC Augsburg
15 16 10 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

For1.3

FC Augsburg (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (home)11.5
FC Augsburg — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

1. FC Heidenheim — on target (home)3.9
FC Augsburg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1. FC Heidenheim

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53

FC Augsburg

Inside the box8.47
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim

B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots FC Augsburg

A. Claude-Maurice
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Kade
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Gregoritsch
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Kömür
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Heidenheim xG (home)1.41
FC Augsburg xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

42.26% Possession 43.97%

Team Comparison 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg

75.88% Pass accuracy 78.29%
362.38 Passes per match 392.06
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.07
9.82 Fouls committed 11.03
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
2.06 Offsides 2.18
15.41 Tackles per match 15.88

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg prediction analysis

Review 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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