Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum

1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-05-02 18:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfL Bochum
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
24%
2
35%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1. FC Heidenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

VfL Bochum (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

1. FC Heidenheim
WDLWD
VfL Bochum
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

44% +0.5 59%
22% +1.5 29%
11% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

1. FC Heidenheim averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
24%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 0 VfL Bochum Draw
Dec 2024 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 0 - 2 VfL Bochum Away
Apr 2024 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 1 - 1 VfL Bochum Draw
Nov 2023 1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 0 VfL Bochum Draw
Apr 2021 1. FC Heidenheim 0 - 2 VfL Bochum Away

In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

1. FC Heidenheim — unbeaten run (home)1
1. FC Heidenheim — scoring streak (home)2
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1. FC Heidenheim Win (1)41%
Draw (X)24%
VfL Bochum Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

44% +0.5 59%
22% +1.5 29%
11% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

56% -0.5 41%
78% -1.5 71%
89% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — scored (home)0.83
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (home)1.94
VfL Bochum — scored (away)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (home)33%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)43%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.2

VfL Bochum (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1. FC Heidenheim
10 3 10 8 5
VfL Bochum
9 14 10 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

For1.3

VfL Bochum (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (home)13.2
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

1. FC Heidenheim — on target (home)4.1
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1. FC Heidenheim

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.47

VfL Bochum

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim

B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Kerber
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target21%
O. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Léo Scienza
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots VfL Bochum

G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Heidenheim xG (home)1.21
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

43.33% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum

76.31% Pass accuracy 74.18%
386.47 Passes per match 372.79
0.1 Goals prevented 0.31
11.22 Fouls committed 13.71
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.6 Offsides 1.97
17.69 Tackles per match 17.65

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis

Review 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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