Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-05-17
13:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Werder Bremen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
28%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Heidenheim (Home)
Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%
Werder Bremen (Away)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Heidenheim
WDLWD
Werder Bremen
WDDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
44%
+0.5
82%
22%
+1.5
71%
11%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
18%
0%
+4.5
0%
33%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Heidenheim averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
1. FC Heidenheim(A)
0 - 2
Werder Bremen
Away
Oct 2025
1. FC Heidenheim
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Draw
May 2025
1. FC Heidenheim
1 - 4
Werder Bremen
Away
Jan 2025
1. FC Heidenheim(A)
3 - 3
Werder Bremen
Draw
Feb 2024
1. FC Heidenheim(A)
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
Home
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
1. FC Heidenheim — unbeaten run (home)1
1. FC Heidenheim — scoring streak (home)2
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)0
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Heidenheim Win (1)28%
Draw (X)23%
Werder Bremen Win (2)49%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
44%
+0.5
82%
22%
+1.5
71%
11%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
18%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
56%
-0.5
18%
78%
-1.5
29%
89%
-2.5
76%
94%
-3.5
82%
100%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (home)0.83
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (home)1.94
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.94
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.13
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (home)33%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)46%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Heidenheim (home)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.2
Werder Bremen (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Heidenheim
10
3
10
8
5
Werder Bremen
9
4
10
15
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Heidenheim (home)
For1.3
Werder Bremen (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (home)13.2
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (home)4.1
Werder Bremen — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Heidenheim
Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.47
Werder Bremen
Inside the box9.47
Outside the box3.15
Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim
B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Kerber
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target21%
O. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Léo Scienza
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Player Shots Werder Bremen
K. Topp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Heidenheim xG (home)1.21
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.51
Average Possession
43.33%
Possession
49.94%
Team Comparison 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen
76.31%
Pass accuracy
80.94%
386.47
Passes per match
469.15
0.1
Goals prevented
-0
11.22
Fouls committed
9.85
3.08
Goalkeeper saves
3.06
1.6
Offsides
2.18
17.69
Tackles per match
16.03
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights