Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen

1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-10-18 13:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Werder Bremen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
22%
2
39%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

1. FC Heidenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Werder Bremen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
Werder Bremen
LLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
22%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
71%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 0 - 2 Werder Bremen Away
Oct 2025 1. FC Heidenheim 2 - 2 Werder Bremen Draw
May 2025 1. FC Heidenheim 1 - 4 Werder Bremen Away
Jan 2025 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 3 - 3 Werder Bremen Draw
Feb 2024 1. FC Heidenheim(A) 2 - 1 Werder Bremen Home

In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

1. FC Heidenheim — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Heidenheim — scoring streak (home)0
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)3
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1. FC Heidenheim Win (1)39%
Draw (X)22%
Werder Bremen Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
47% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (home)2.18
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.06
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes71%
No29%

Rate per Team

1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (home)59%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.5

Werder Bremen (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1. FC Heidenheim
9 12 18 10 9
Werder Bremen
10 16 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

1. FC Heidenheim (home)

For1.3

Werder Bremen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (home)11.5
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

1. FC Heidenheim — on target (home)3.9
Werder Bremen — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1. FC Heidenheim

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94

Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim

B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Heidenheim xG (home)1.41
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

42.26% Possession 51.15%

Team Comparison 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen

75.88% Pass accuracy 81.53%
362.38 Passes per match 480.41
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.2
9.82 Fouls committed 9.91
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
2.06 Offsides 1.82
15.41 Tackles per match 17.12

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis

Review 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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