Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-11-23
12:30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Holstein Kiel
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
1. FC Kaiserslautern (Home)
Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate59%
Holstein Kiel (Away)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Kaiserslautern
WWLLL
Holstein Kiel
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
88%
59%
+1.5
29%
47%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
1. FC Kaiserslautern averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
1. FC Kaiserslautern(A)
0 - 3
Holstein Kiel
Away
Nov 2025
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Home
Apr 2024
1. FC Kaiserslautern(A)
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Home
Nov 2023
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 - 3
Holstein Kiel
Away
Feb 2023
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Home
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Kaiserslautern won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
1. FC Kaiserslautern — unbeaten run (home)1
1. FC Kaiserslautern — scoring streak (home)1
Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1
Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Kaiserslautern Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Holstein Kiel Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
88%
59%
+1.5
29%
47%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
12%
41%
-1.5
71%
53%
-2.5
88%
88%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Kaiserslautern — scored (home)2.06
1. FC Kaiserslautern — conceded (home)1.12
Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
1. FC Kaiserslautern — BTTS matches (home)59%
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Kaiserslautern (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against3.7
Holstein Kiel (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5
13
11
10
3
Holstein Kiel
5
8
9
16
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Kaiserslautern (home)
For2.6
Holstein Kiel (away)
For3.7
Shots per Game
1. FC Kaiserslautern — total shots (home)15.3
Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7
Shots on Target
1. FC Kaiserslautern — on target (home)5.8
Holstein Kiel — on target (away)3.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Inside the box8.74
Outside the box3.94
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
Player Shots 1. FC Kaiserslautern
I. Prtajin
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
S. Asta
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
E. Wekesser
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Skyttä
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
R. Tachie
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG (home)1.43
Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
47.59%
Possession
51.71%
Team Comparison 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel
75.29%
Pass accuracy
80.5%
385.41
Passes per match
420.15
-0.08
Goals prevented
-0.24
12.18
Fouls committed
14.29
3.44
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.41
Offsides
1.58
15.65
Tackles per match
14.03
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights