Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-29
13:30
1. FC Köln
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
22%
2
38%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Köln (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate88%
1899 Hoffenheim (Away)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Köln
LLDLD
1899 Hoffenheim
LWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
59%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
88%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Köln averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while 1899 Hoffenheim averages 1.76 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
22%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
1. FC Köln
2 - 2
1899 Hoffenheim
Draw
Oct 2025
1. FC Köln(A)
1 - 0
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Feb 2024
1. FC Köln(A)
1 - 1
1899 Hoffenheim
Draw
Sep 2023
1. FC Köln
1 - 3
1899 Hoffenheim
Away
Apr 2023
1. FC Köln(A)
3 - 1
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
1. FC Köln — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Köln — scoring streak (home)10
1899 Hoffenheim — winless run (away)1
1899 Hoffenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Köln Win (1)40%
Draw (X)22%
1899 Hoffenheim Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
59%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
24%
59%
-1.5
41%
71%
-2.5
71%
88%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Köln — scored (home)1.76
1. FC Köln — conceded (home)1.76
1899 Hoffenheim — scored (away)1.76
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.56
Both Teams To Score
Yes69%
No31%
Rate per Team
1. FC Köln — BTTS matches (home)88%
1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)76.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Köln (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7
1899 Hoffenheim (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Köln
13
7
7
10
10
1899 Hoffenheim
7
13
9
11
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Köln (home)
For2.1
1899 Hoffenheim (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.49
1. FC Köln
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.72
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.27
1899 Hoffenheim
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.77
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.17
Shots per Game
1. FC Köln — total shots (home)15.1
1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (away)12.0
Shots on Target
1. FC Köln — on target (home)5.5
1899 Hoffenheim — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Köln
Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4
1899 Hoffenheim
Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.41
Player Shots 1. FC Köln
S. El Mala
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Kamiński
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Ache
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target21%
L. Waldschmidt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Bülter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim
A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target24%
F. Asllani
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Lemperle
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Damar
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Köln xG (home)1.53
1899 Hoffenheim xG (away)1.64
Average Possession
47.09%
Possession
55.24%
Team Comparison 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim
80.12%
Pass accuracy
80.29%
408.32
Passes per match
472.5
0.08
Goals prevented
-0.04
8.32
Fouls committed
13.94
2.79
Goalkeeper saves
2.85
1.91
Offsides
1.84
14.21
Tackles per match
15.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights