Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-11-29
19:30
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
27%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Magdeburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%
1. FC Nürnberg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
76%
35%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
27%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
1. FC Magdeburg(A)
0 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Nov 2025
1. FC Magdeburg
3 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Feb 2025
1. FC Magdeburg
3 - 4
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Aug 2024
1. FC Magdeburg(A)
4 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Mar 2024
1. FC Magdeburg
0 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
1. FC Magdeburg — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Magdeburg — scoring streak (home)0
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Magdeburg Win (1)27%
Draw (X)23%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)49%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
76%
35%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
24%
65%
-1.5
76%
76%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Magdeburg — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (home)1.65
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (home)41%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)58.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Magdeburg (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against4.1
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Magdeburg
13
8
8
16
3
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Magdeburg (home)
For2.3
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (home)15.5
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
1. FC Magdeburg — on target (home)4.8
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Magdeburg
Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg
M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Magdeburg xG (home)1.78
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
54.15%
Possession
49.35%
Team Comparison 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg
82.41%
Pass accuracy
80.79%
447.91
Passes per match
403.09
-0.08
Goals prevented
-0.2
11.44
Fouls committed
11.88
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.88
Offsides
1.34
14.7
Tackles per match
15.61
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights