Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07

1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-09 12:30
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
SC Paderborn 07
Away

Prediction Summary

1
17%
X
22%
2
61%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1. FC Magdeburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%

SC Paderborn 07 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW
SC Paderborn 07
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 47%
24% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while SC Paderborn 07 averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
17%
Draw
22%
Away Win
61%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 1. FC Magdeburg(A) 3 - 4 SC Paderborn 07 Away
Nov 2025 1. FC Magdeburg 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 Away
May 2025 1. FC Magdeburg(A) 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 Away
Dec 2024 1. FC Magdeburg 1 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 Draw
Mar 2024 1. FC Magdeburg(A) 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 Draw

In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

1. FC Magdeburg — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Magdeburg — scoring streak (home)0
SC Paderborn 07 — winless run (away)0
SC Paderborn 07 — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1. FC Magdeburg Win (1)17%
Draw (X)22%
SC Paderborn 07 Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 47%
24% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 18%
65% -1.5 53%
76% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1. FC Magdeburg — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (home)1.65
SC Paderborn 07 — scored (away)1.41
SC Paderborn 07 — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (home)41%
SC Paderborn 07 — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.541%
Under 8.559%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

1. FC Magdeburg (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.1

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1. FC Magdeburg
13 8 8 16 3
SC Paderborn 07
8 9 8 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

1. FC Magdeburg (home)

For2.3

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (home)15.5
SC Paderborn 07 — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

1. FC Magdeburg — on target (home)4.8
SC Paderborn 07 — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1. FC Magdeburg

Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74

SC Paderborn 07

Inside the box10.44
Outside the box4.85

Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg

M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots SC Paderborn 07

S. Tigges
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target16%
L. Engelns
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Curda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Obermair
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Bilbija
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Magdeburg xG (home)1.78
SC Paderborn 07 xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

54.15% Possession 53.26%

Team Comparison 1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07

82.41% Pass accuracy 80.65%
447.91 Passes per match 452.62
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.01
11.44 Fouls committed 12.82
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.88 Offsides 2.06
14.7 Tackles per match 17.26

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction analysis

Review 1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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