Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-08-31
11:30
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
23%
2
33%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Magdeburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)
Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
67%
35%
+1.5
39%
24%
+2.5
11%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
41%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
23%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
1. FC Magdeburg(A)
5 - 4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Aug 2025
1. FC Magdeburg
4 - 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
Mar 2025
1. FC Magdeburg(A)
1 - 1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw
Oct 2024
1. FC Magdeburg
2 - 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw
May 2024
1. FC Magdeburg
0 - 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
1. FC Magdeburg — unbeaten run (home)0
1. FC Magdeburg — scoring streak (home)0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Magdeburg Win (1)44%
Draw (X)23%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
67%
35%
+1.5
39%
24%
+2.5
11%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
33%
65%
-1.5
61%
76%
-2.5
89%
88%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
94%
1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Magdeburg — scored (home)1.35
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (home)1.65
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.19
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (home)41%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)54%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Magdeburg (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against4.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Magdeburg
13
8
8
16
3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9
20
5
9
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Magdeburg (home)
For2.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (home)15.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4
Shots on Target
1. FC Magdeburg — on target (home)4.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Magdeburg
Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83
Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg
M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Magdeburg xG (home)1.78
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29
Average Possession
54.15%
Possession
48.22%
Team Comparison 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
82.41%
Pass accuracy
78.69%
447.91
Passes per match
397.89
-0.08
Goals prevented
0.08
11.44
Fouls committed
11.33
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
2.89
1.88
Offsides
1.74
14.7
Tackles per match
15.75
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights