Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-11-23
12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Away
Prediction Summary
1
36%
X
25%
2
39%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Nürnberg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%
Arminia Bielefeld (Away)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
71%
53%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Arminia Bielefeld averages 1.12 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
Nov 2025
1. FC Nürnberg
2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Mar 2023
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
2 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
Sep 2022
1. FC Nürnberg
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Jun 2020
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
1. FC Nürnberg — unbeaten run (home)2
1. FC Nürnberg — scoring streak (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — winless run (away)1
Arminia Bielefeld — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Nürnberg Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Arminia Bielefeld Win (2)39%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
71%
53%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
29%
47%
-1.5
71%
76%
-2.5
88%
94%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (home)1.59
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (home)1
Arminia Bielefeld — scored (away)1.12
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.9
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.0
Arminia Bielefeld (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Arminia Bielefeld
4
8
10
10
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
For2.1
Arminia Bielefeld (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (home)14.2
Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (away)13.2
Shots on Target
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (home)5.0
Arminia Bielefeld — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Arminia Bielefeld
Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld
J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Nürnberg xG (home)1.4
Arminia Bielefeld xG (away)1.59
Average Possession
49.35%
Possession
51.88%
Team Comparison 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
80.79%
Pass accuracy
76.06%
403.09
Passes per match
398.97
-0.2
Goals prevented
-0.17
11.88
Fouls committed
12.88
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.88
1.34
Offsides
2.15
15.61
Tackles per match
15.35
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights