Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2026-08-09 11:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dynamo Dresden
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
24%
2
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1. FC Nürnberg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%

Dynamo Dresden (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Dynamo Dresden
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 82%
53% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Dynamo Dresden averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 2 Dynamo Dresden Away
Nov 2025 1. FC Nürnberg(A) 2 - 1 Dynamo Dresden Home
Mar 2022 1. FC Nürnberg 1 - 1 Dynamo Dresden Draw
Oct 2021 1. FC Nürnberg(A) 1 - 0 Dynamo Dresden Home
Dec 2019 1. FC Nürnberg 2 - 0 Dynamo Dresden Home

In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

1. FC Nürnberg — unbeaten run (home)2
1. FC Nürnberg — scoring streak (home)2
Dynamo Dresden — winless run (away)2
Dynamo Dresden — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1. FC Nürnberg Win (1)49%
Draw (X)24%
Dynamo Dresden Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 82%
53% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 18%
47% -1.5 47%
76% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1. FC Nürnberg — scored (home)1.59
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (home)1
Dynamo Dresden — scored (away)1.41
Dynamo Dresden — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
Dynamo Dresden — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

1. FC Nürnberg (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.0

Dynamo Dresden (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1. FC Nürnberg
4 8 9 10 15
Dynamo Dresden
9 9 11 14 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

1. FC Nürnberg (home)

For2.1

Dynamo Dresden (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.75

1. FC Nürnberg

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.14
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.64

Dynamo Dresden

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.61
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.99

Shots per Game

1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (home)14.2
Dynamo Dresden — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

1. FC Nürnberg — on target (home)5.0
Dynamo Dresden — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1. FC Nürnberg

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09

Dynamo Dresden

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg

P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Dynamo Dresden

R. Wagner
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Lemmer
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Sterner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Hauptmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Vermeij
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Nürnberg xG (home)1.4
Dynamo Dresden xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

49.35% Possession 50.15%

Team Comparison 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

80.79% Pass accuracy 79.79%
403.09 Passes per match 429.06
-0.2 Goals prevented -0.26
11.88 Fouls committed 10.76
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.34 Offsides 2
15.61 Tackles per match 16.12

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden prediction analysis

Review 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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