Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-10-19
11:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
0-1
Holstein Kiel
Away
Prediction Summary
1
20%
X
32%
2
48%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
1. FC Nürnberg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%
Holstein Kiel (Away)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Holstein Kiel
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
88%
53%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.
1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored away.
Model Strength
74%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
20%
Draw
32%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
31%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
3 - 2
Holstein Kiel
Home
Oct 2025
1. FC Nürnberg
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Draw
Apr 2024
1. FC Nürnberg
0 - 4
Holstein Kiel
Away
Oct 2023
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
2 - 0
Holstein Kiel
Home
Apr 2023
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
1 - 2
Holstein Kiel
Away
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
1. FC Nürnberg — unbeaten run (home)2
1. FC Nürnberg — scoring streak (home)2
Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1
Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Nürnberg Win (1)20%
Draw (X)32%
Holstein Kiel Win (2)48%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
88%
53%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
12%
47%
-1.5
71%
76%
-2.5
88%
94%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (home)1.59
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (home)1
Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals1.75
Both Teams To Score
Yes31%
No69%
Rate per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.0
Holstein Kiel (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Holstein Kiel
5
8
9
16
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
For2.1
Holstein Kiel (away)
For3.7
Shots per Game
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (home)14.2
Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7
Shots on Target
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (home)5.0
Holstein Kiel — on target (away)3.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Nürnberg xG (home)1.4
Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
49.35%
Possession
51.71%
Team Comparison 1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel
80.79%
Pass accuracy
80.5%
403.09
Passes per match
420.15
-0.2
Goals prevented
-0.24
11.88
Fouls committed
14.29
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.34
Offsides
1.58
15.61
Tackles per match
14.03
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights