Prediction Analysis: 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-12-07
12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1. FC Nürnberg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)
Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
67%
53%
+1.5
39%
24%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
6%
47%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.
1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
1 - 1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw
Dec 2025
1. FC Nürnberg
2 - 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw
Mar 2025
1. FC Nürnberg
3 - 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Oct 2024
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
4 - 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Feb 2024
1. FC Nürnberg(A)
1 - 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
In the last 5 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
1. FC Nürnberg — unbeaten run (home)2
1. FC Nürnberg — scoring streak (home)2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1. FC Nürnberg Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
67%
53%
+1.5
39%
24%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
33%
47%
-1.5
61%
76%
-2.5
89%
94%
-3.5
94%
94%
-4.5
94%
1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (home)1.59
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (home)1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.43
Both Teams To Score
Yes66%
No34%
Rate per Team
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (home)47%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)57%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9
20
5
9
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
For2.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (home)14.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4
Shots on Target
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (home)5.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Nürnberg xG (home)1.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29
Average Possession
49.35%
Possession
48.22%
Team Comparison 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
80.79%
Pass accuracy
78.69%
403.09
Passes per match
397.89
-0.2
Goals prevented
0.08
11.88
Fouls committed
11.33
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.89
1.34
Offsides
1.74
15.61
Tackles per match
15.75
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis
Review 1. FC Nürnberg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights