Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-09-05 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
24%
2
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1899 Hoffenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate65%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

1899 Hoffenheim
LWDWW
Borussia Dortmund
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
47% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

1899 Hoffenheim averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
24%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Home
Dec 2025 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Away
Apr 2025 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Away
Dec 2024 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw
Feb 2024 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 3 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Home

In the last 5 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

1899 Hoffenheim — unbeaten run (home)3
1899 Hoffenheim — scoring streak (home)5
Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)0
Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1899 Hoffenheim Win (1)39%
Draw (X)24%
Borussia Dortmund Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
47% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%
47% -1.5 35%
53% -2.5 82%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — scored (home)2.06
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (home)1.24
Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)1.76
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (home)65%
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against4.4

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1899 Hoffenheim
7 13 9 11 11
Borussia Dortmund
7 5 2 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

For1.8

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.68

1899 Hoffenheim

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.37
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.05

Borussia Dortmund

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.30
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46

Shots per Game

1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (home)16.2
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

1899 Hoffenheim — on target (home)5.9
Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1899 Hoffenheim

Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.41

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68
Outside the box3.38

Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim

A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target24%
F. Asllani
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Lemperle
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Damar
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target27%
S. Inacio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Beier
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1899 Hoffenheim xG (home)1.64
Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

55.24% Possession 53.24%

Team Comparison 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

80.29% Pass accuracy 83.21%
472.5 Passes per match 493.21
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.14
13.94 Fouls committed 11.71
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.84 Offsides 1.18
15.5 Tackles per match 14.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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