Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-12-13 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Hamburger SV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
22%
2
19%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1899 Hoffenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate65%

Hamburger SV (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

1899 Hoffenheim
LWDWW
Hamburger SV
DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 24%
47% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

1899 Hoffenheim averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Hamburger SV averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 2 - 1 Hamburger SV Home
Dec 2025 1899 Hoffenheim 4 - 1 Hamburger SV Home

In the last 2 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

1899 Hoffenheim — unbeaten run (home)3
1899 Hoffenheim — scoring streak (home)5
Hamburger SV — winless run (away)1
Hamburger SV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1899 Hoffenheim Win (1)59%
Draw (X)22%
Hamburger SV Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 24%
47% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 35%
47% -1.5 76%
53% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — scored (home)2.06
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (home)1.24
Hamburger SV — scored (away)0.88
Hamburger SV — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (home)65%
Hamburger SV — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against4.4

Hamburger SV (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1899 Hoffenheim
7 13 9 11 11
Hamburger SV
10 13 13 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

For1.8

Hamburger SV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (home)16.2
Hamburger SV — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

1899 Hoffenheim — on target (home)5.9
Hamburger SV — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1899 Hoffenheim

Inside the box9.71
Outside the box4.41

Hamburger SV

Inside the box8.06
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim

A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target24%
F. Asllani
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Lemperle
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Damar
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Hamburger SV

R. Königsdörffer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fábio Vieira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Dompé
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Philippe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Grønbæk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1899 Hoffenheim xG (home)1.64
Hamburger SV xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

55.24% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

80.29% Pass accuracy 80%
472.5 Passes per match 390.12
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.02
13.94 Fouls committed 11.82
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
1.84 Offsides 1.79
15.5 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction analysis

Review 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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