Prediction Analysis: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-02-08
14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union Berlin
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
23%
2
30%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
1899 Hoffenheim (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%
Union Berlin (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
1899 Hoffenheim
LDDLL
Union Berlin
WLDDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
53%
41%
+1.5
35%
24%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
1899 Hoffenheim averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Union Berlin averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
23%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Home
Sep 2025
1899 Hoffenheim(A)
4 - 2
Union Berlin
Home
Feb 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
0 - 4
Union Berlin
Away
Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim(A)
1 - 2
Union Berlin
Away
Feb 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Union Berlin
Away
In the last 5 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
1899 Hoffenheim — unbeaten run (home)0
1899 Hoffenheim — scoring streak (home)0
Union Berlin — winless run (away)0
Union Berlin — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
1899 Hoffenheim Win (1)47%
Draw (X)23%
Union Berlin Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
53%
41%
+1.5
35%
24%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
47%
59%
-1.5
65%
76%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
1899 Hoffenheim — scored (home)1.47
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (home)2.12
Union Berlin — scored (away)1
Union Berlin — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.2
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (home)71%
Union Berlin — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)56%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
1899 Hoffenheim (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.8
Union Berlin (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
1899 Hoffenheim
8
7
11
11
5
Union Berlin
8
14
10
3
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4
Yellow Cards per Team
1899 Hoffenheim (home)
For2.1
Union Berlin (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (home)14.2
Union Berlin — total shots (away)11.0
Shots on Target
1899 Hoffenheim — on target (home)4.9
Union Berlin — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
1899 Hoffenheim
Inside the box8.35
Outside the box4.68
Union Berlin
Inside the box8.26
Outside the box4
Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim
A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Berisha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Hložek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target19%
Max Moerstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Union Berlin
L. Tousart
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
Y. Vertessen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Ilić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Hollerbach
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target15%
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
1899 Hoffenheim xG (home)1.28
Union Berlin xG (away)1.09
Average Possession
48.59%
Possession
40.41%
Team Comparison 1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin
79.5%
Pass accuracy
73.65%
436.76
Passes per match
359.03
-0.01
Goals prevented
0.06
11.5
Fouls committed
12.32
3.32
Goalkeeper saves
2.68
2.19
Offsides
2.03
16.82
Tackles per match
15.94
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin prediction analysis
Review 1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights