Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-02-23 18:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
22%
2
44%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

1899 Hoffenheim (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

VfB Stuttgart (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

1899 Hoffenheim
LDDLL
VfB Stuttgart
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

1899 Hoffenheim averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
22%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 3 VfB Stuttgart Draw
Dec 2025 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Draw
Feb 2025 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Draw
Oct 2024 1899 Hoffenheim(A) 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart Draw
Mar 2024 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart Away

In the last 5 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

1899 Hoffenheim — unbeaten run (home)0
1899 Hoffenheim — scoring streak (home)0
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)0
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

1899 Hoffenheim Win (1)34%
Draw (X)22%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 47%
76% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — scored (home)1.47
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (home)2.12
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)1.71
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (home)71%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.8

VfB Stuttgart (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

1899 Hoffenheim
8 7 11 11 5
VfB Stuttgart
8 11 8 13 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

1899 Hoffenheim (home)

For2.1

VfB Stuttgart (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (home)14.2
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

1899 Hoffenheim — on target (home)4.9
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

1899 Hoffenheim

Inside the box8.35
Outside the box4.68

VfB Stuttgart

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim

A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Berisha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Hložek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target19%
Max Moerstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots VfB Stuttgart

N. Woltemade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target26%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

1899 Hoffenheim xG (home)1.28
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

48.59% Possession 57.5%

Team Comparison 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

79.5% Pass accuracy 84.82%
436.76 Passes per match 538.38
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.04
11.5 Fouls committed 10.53
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
2.19 Offsides 1.88
16.82 Tackles per match 13.97

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis

Review 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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