Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norway vs France

Norway vs France prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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World Cup 2026-06-26 19:00
Norway
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
France
Away

Prediction Summary

1
15%
X
16%
2
69%
+2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Norway (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match2.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate100%

France (Away)

Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norway
LWWLW
France
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 50%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Norway averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while France averages 2.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
15%
Draw
16%
Away Win
69%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jun 2026 Norway 1 - 4 France Away

In the last 1 meetings, Norway won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Norway — unbeaten run (home)0
Norway — scoring streak (home)3
France — winless run (away)0
France — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Norway Win (1)15%
Draw (X)16%
France Win (2)69%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 50%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
67% -1.5 50%
67% -2.5 50%
100% -3.5 50%
100% -4.5 100%

Norway vs France — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norway — scored (home)1.67
Norway — conceded (home)2.67
France — scored (away)2.5
France — conceded (away)0.5
Model expected combined goals4

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Norway — BTTS matches (home)100%
France — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.5100%
Under 7.50%
Over 8.5100%
Under 8.50%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norway (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.3

France (away)

Corners for8.0
Corners against2.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norway
9 9 15 10 11
France
9 10 12 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.567%
Under 1.533%
Over 2.525%
Under 2.575%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Norway (home)

For1.0

France (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Norway — total shots (home)12.0
France — total shots (away)16.5

Shots on Target

Norway — on target (home)5.0
France — on target (away)7.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norway

Inside the box8.83
Outside the box2.17

France

Inside the box9.14
Outside the box7.29

Player Shots Norway

E. Haaland
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target80%
M. Pedersen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Ødegaard
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
Oscar Bobb
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Østigård
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots France

Kylian Mbappé
Shots on Target/Game2.7
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target86%
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Olise
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norway xG (home)1.66
France xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

52.33% Possession 57.14%

Team Comparison Norway vs France

85.85% Pass accuracy 88.6%
503.5 Passes per match 532.14
-0.1 Goals prevented 0.1
9.5 Fouls committed 9.43
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 1.29
0.83 Offsides 2.2
16.33 Tackles per match 14.57

League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norway vs France prediction analysis

Review Norway vs France with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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