Prediction Analysis: Egypt vs Iran
Egypt vs Iran prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Egypt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
19%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Iran
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
37%
2
32%
+2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
28%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Egypt (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Iran (Away)
Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Egypt
LDDWD
Iran
DDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
50%
0%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 19%. Model confidence is High.
Egypt averages 1 goals scored at home, while Iran averages 0.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
81%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
37%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS Yes
28%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jun 2026
Egypt
1 - 1
Iran
Draw
In the last 1 meetings, Egypt won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Egypt — unbeaten run (home)1
Egypt — scoring streak (home)1
Iran — winless run (away)2
Iran — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Egypt Win (1)32%
Draw (X)37%
Iran Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
50%
0%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
50%
100%
-1.5
100%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Egypt vs Iran — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Egypt — scored (home)1
Egypt — conceded (home)1
Iran — scored (away)0.5
Iran — conceded (away)0.5
Model expected combined goals1.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes28%
No72%
Rate per Team
Egypt — BTTS matches (home)100%
Iran — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.575%
Under 9.525%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Egypt (home)
Corners for8.0
Corners against2.0
Iran (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Egypt
9
7
10
11
7
Iran
5
6
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Egypt (home)
For3.0
Iran (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Egypt — total shots (home)15.0
Iran — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Egypt — on target (home)3.0
Iran — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Egypt
Inside the box8.4
Outside the box5
Iran
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Egypt
Player 2664
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Mohamed Salah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mostafa Zico
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
Emam Ashour
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Omar Marmoush
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Iran
S. Ezatolahi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Rezaeian
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Mohebi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Mohammadi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Egypt xG (home)1.22
Iran xG (away)-
Average Possession
51.4%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Egypt vs Iran
84%
Pass accuracy
0%
516.4
Passes per match
-
-0.29
Goals prevented
-
11.8
Fouls committed
-
3
Goalkeeper saves
-
0.8
Offsides
-
18.2
Tackles per match
19.67
League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Egypt vs Iran prediction analysis
Review Egypt vs Iran with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights