Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido

A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera División 2025-08-23 21:30
A. Italiano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Coquimbo Unido
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

A. Italiano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.93
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

Coquimbo Unido (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

A. Italiano
WWWLL
Coquimbo Unido
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 80%
53% +1.5 47%
27% +2.5 20%
20% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

A. Italiano averages 1.93 goals scored at home, while Coquimbo Unido averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 A. Italiano 0 - 1 Coquimbo Unido Away
Mar 2025 A. Italiano(A) 1 - 2 Coquimbo Unido Away

In the last 2 meetings, A. Italiano won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

A. Italiano — unbeaten run (home)2
A. Italiano — scoring streak (home)4
Coquimbo Unido — winless run (away)1
Coquimbo Unido — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

A. Italiano Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Coquimbo Unido Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 80%
53% +1.5 47%
27% +2.5 20%
20% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 20%
47% -1.5 53%
73% -2.5 80%
80% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

A. Italiano — scored (home)1.93
A. Italiano — conceded (home)1.13
Coquimbo Unido — scored (away)1.53
Coquimbo Unido — conceded (away)0.53
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (home)67%
Coquimbo Unido — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

A. Italiano (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Coquimbo Unido (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

A. Italiano
8 19 13 5 16
Coquimbo Unido
7 12 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

A. Italiano (home)

For2.5

Coquimbo Unido (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

A. Italiano — total shots (home)13.9
Coquimbo Unido — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

A. Italiano — on target (home)4.2
Coquimbo Unido — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93
Outside the box4.93

Coquimbo Unido

Inside the box7.67
Outside the box3.87

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
E. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
Michael Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Riveros
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Coquimbo Unido

C. Waterman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Johansen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Donadell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Zavala
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Italiano xG (home)1.5
Coquimbo Unido xG (away)1.95

Average Possession

43.13% Possession 41.5%

Team Comparison A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido

72.9% Pass accuracy 72.57%
303.87 Passes per match 297.17
0 Goals prevented 0
10.47 Fouls committed 11.4
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.17
2 Offsides 2.29
15.55 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction analysis

Review A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top