Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique

A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-02-21 21:00
A. Italiano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Deportes Iquique
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
21%
2
20%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

A. Italiano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.93
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

Deportes Iquique (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

A. Italiano
WWWLL
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

A. Italiano averages 1.93 goals scored at home, while Deportes Iquique averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
21%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 A. Italiano(A) 0 - 1 Deportes Iquique Away
Feb 2025 A. Italiano 4 - 2 Deportes Iquique Home

In the last 2 meetings, A. Italiano won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

A. Italiano — unbeaten run (home)2
A. Italiano — scoring streak (home)4
Deportes Iquique — winless run (away)0
Deportes Iquique — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

A. Italiano Win (1)59%
Draw (X)21%
Deportes Iquique Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 27%
47% -1.5 73%
73% -2.5 100%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

A. Italiano — scored (home)1.93
A. Italiano — conceded (home)1.13
Deportes Iquique — scored (away)1
Deportes Iquique — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (home)67%
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)67%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

A. Italiano (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Deportes Iquique (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

A. Italiano
8 19 13 5 16
Deportes Iquique
3 7 12 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

A. Italiano (home)

For2.5

Deportes Iquique (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

A. Italiano — total shots (home)13.9
Deportes Iquique — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

A. Italiano — on target (home)4.2
Deportes Iquique — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93
Outside the box4.93

Deportes Iquique

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
E. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
Michael Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Riveros
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Deportes Iquique

Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Italiano xG (home)1.5
Deportes Iquique xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

43.13% Possession 44.77%

Team Comparison A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique

72.9% Pass accuracy 72.67%
303.87 Passes per match 327.83
0 Goals prevented 0
10.47 Fouls committed 11.03
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2 Offsides 2.4
15.55 Tackles per match 14.87

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique prediction analysis

Review A. Italiano vs Deportes Iquique with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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