Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-11-21 23:00
A. Italiano
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Everton de Vina
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
22%
2
20%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

A. Italiano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.93
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

Everton de Vina (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

A. Italiano
WWWLL
Everton de Vina
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 20%
27% +2.5 7%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

A. Italiano averages 1.93 goals scored at home, while Everton de Vina averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
22%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 A. Italiano 2 - 0 Everton de Vina Home
Jun 2025 A. Italiano(A) 1 - 1 Everton de Vina Draw

In the last 2 meetings, A. Italiano won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

A. Italiano — unbeaten run (home)2
A. Italiano — scoring streak (home)4
Everton de Vina — winless run (away)2
Everton de Vina — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

A. Italiano Win (1)58%
Draw (X)22%
Everton de Vina Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 20%
27% +2.5 7%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 53%
47% -1.5 80%
73% -2.5 93%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

A. Italiano — scored (home)1.93
A. Italiano — conceded (home)1.13
Everton de Vina — scored (away)0.73
Everton de Vina — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals3.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (home)67%
Everton de Vina — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

A. Italiano (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Everton de Vina (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

A. Italiano
8 19 13 5 16
Everton de Vina
7 14 13 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

A. Italiano (home)

For2.5

Everton de Vina (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

A. Italiano — total shots (home)13.9
Everton de Vina — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

A. Italiano — on target (home)4.2
Everton de Vina — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93
Outside the box4.93

Everton de Vina

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box5.87

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
E. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
Michael Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Riveros
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Everton de Vina

S. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Piñeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Italiano xG (home)1.5
Everton de Vina xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

43.13% Possession 46.07%

Team Comparison A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina

72.9% Pass accuracy 75.13%
303.87 Passes per match 350.97
0 Goals prevented 0
10.47 Fouls committed 10.73
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
2 Offsides 1.22
15.55 Tackles per match 15.77

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina prediction analysis

Review A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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