What markets are included in the A. Italiano vs Union Espanola prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the A. Italiano vs Union Espanola prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: A. Italiano vs Union Espanola

A. Italiano vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-04-18 22:00

A. Italiano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Union Espanola

Away

Prediction Summary

56%

22%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

A. Italiano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.93

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate27%

BTTS rate67%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73

Goals conceded / match1.87

Over 2.5 rate7%

BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

A. Italiano

WWWLL

Union Espanola

LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 40%

53% +1.5 20%

27% +2.5 7%

20% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

67% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

A. Italiano averages 1.93 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

56%

Draw

22%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 A. Italiano(A) 4 - 3 Union Espanola Home

Apr 2025 A. Italiano 2 - 0 Union Espanola Home

In the last 2 meetings, A. Italiano won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

A. Italiano — unbeaten run (home)2

A. Italiano — scoring streak (home)4

Union Espanola — winless run (away)4

Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

A. Italiano Win (1)56%

Draw (X)22%

Union Espanola Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 40%

53% +1.5 20%

27% +2.5 7%

20% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 60%

47% -1.5 80%

73% -2.5 93%

80% -3.5 93%

100% -4.5 100%

A. Italiano vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

A. Italiano — scored (home)1.93

A. Italiano — conceded (home)1.13

Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73

Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87

Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (home)67%

Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

A. Italiano (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.5

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

A. Italiano

8 19 13 5 16

Union Espanola

7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.597%

Under 2.53%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

A. Italiano (home)

For2.5

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

A. Italiano — total shots (home)13.9

Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

A. Italiano — on target (home)4.2

Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93

Outside the box4.93

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93

Outside the box6.13

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

E. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

Michael Fuentes

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Palacios

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Riveros

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target15%

M. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Uribe

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

I. Jeraldino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target22%

M. Marín

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Italiano xG (home)1.5

Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

43.13% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison A. Italiano vs Union Espanola

72.9% Pass accuracy 78.9%

303.87 Passes per match 401.97

0 Goals prevented 0

10.47 Fouls committed 10.67

3.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.2

2 Offsides 2.14

15.55 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

A. Italiano vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review A. Italiano vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights