What markets are included in the A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: A. Italiano vs Union La Calera

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primera División 2025-10-17 21:00

A. Italiano

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Union La Calera

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

27%

20%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

A. Italiano (Home)

Goals scored / match1.93

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate27%

BTTS rate67%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate7%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

A. Italiano

WWWLL

Union La Calera

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 7%

27% +2.5 7%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

67% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

A. Italiano averages 1.93 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 A. Italiano 4 - 3 Union La Calera Home

Apr 2025 A. Italiano(A) 0 - 1 Union La Calera Away

In the last 2 meetings, A. Italiano won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

A. Italiano — unbeaten run (home)2

A. Italiano — scoring streak (home)4

Union La Calera — winless run (away)8

Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

A. Italiano Win (1)53%

Draw (X)27%

Union La Calera Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 7%

27% +2.5 7%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 47%

47% -1.5 93%

73% -2.5 93%

80% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

A. Italiano — scored (home)1.93

A. Italiano — conceded (home)1.13

Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67

Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (home)67%

Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

A. Italiano (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.5

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

A. Italiano

8 19 13 5 16

Union La Calera

7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

A. Italiano (home)

For2.5

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

A. Italiano — total shots (home)13.9

Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

A. Italiano — on target (home)4.2

Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93

Outside the box4.93

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57

Outside the box4.23

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

E. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

Michael Fuentes

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Palacios

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Riveros

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Benegas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ignacio Mesías

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

C. Insaurralde

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Encinas

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Italiano xG (home)1.5

Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

43.13% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison A. Italiano vs Union La Calera

72.9% Pass accuracy 76.73%

303.87 Passes per match 383.4

0 Goals prevented 0

10.47 Fouls committed 11.5

3.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.76

2 Offsides 1.74

15.55 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review A. Italiano vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights