Prediction Analysis: Aalesund vs Valerenga
Aalesund vs Valerenga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eliteserien
2026-08-16
12:30
Aalesund
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Valerenga
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
21%
2
30%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Aalesund (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Valerenga (Away)
Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match2.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Aalesund
LDLW
Valerenga
WWLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
50%
+0.5
76%
50%
+1.5
35%
0%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.
Aalesund averages 1 goals scored at home, while Valerenga averages 1.24 goals scored away.
Model Strength
72%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
21%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Aalesund(A)
1 - 6
Valerenga
Away
Sep 2024
Aalesund(A)
1 - 4
Valerenga
Away
May 2024
Aalesund
0 - 2
Valerenga
Away
Sep 2023
Aalesund(A)
1 - 3
Valerenga
Away
Apr 2023
Aalesund
0 - 1
Valerenga
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Aalesund won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
Aalesund — unbeaten run (home)1
Aalesund — scoring streak (home)1
Valerenga — winless run (away)0
Valerenga — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Aalesund Win (1)49%
Draw (X)21%
Valerenga Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
50%
+0.5
76%
50%
+1.5
35%
0%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
50%
-0.5
24%
50%
-1.5
65%
100%
-2.5
88%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Aalesund vs Valerenga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Aalesund — scored (home)1
Aalesund — conceded (home)1.5
Valerenga — scored (away)1.24
Valerenga — conceded (away)2.24
Model expected combined goals3.74
Both Teams To Score
Yes71%
No29%
Rate per Team
Aalesund — BTTS matches (home)50%
Valerenga — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)54.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)15.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Aalesund (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Valerenga (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Valerenga
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Aalesund (home)
For—
Valerenga (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Aalesund — total shots (home)—
Valerenga — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Aalesund — on target (home)—
Valerenga — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Aalesund
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Valerenga
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Aalesund vs Valerenga
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Aalesund vs Valerenga prediction analysis
Review Aalesund vs Valerenga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eliteserien.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eliteserien
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights