Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs Brondby
Aarhus vs Brondby prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Superliga
2026-07-25
16:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Brondby
Away
Prediction Summary
1
48%
X
27%
2
25%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Aarhus (Home)
Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Brondby (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate29%
Team Form last 5 matches
Aarhus
DWWWD
Brondby
DLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
59%
47%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
29%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
Aarhus averages 1.88 goals scored at home, while Brondby averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Aarhus
1 - 1
Brondby
Draw
May 2026
Aarhus(A)
2 - 0
Brondby
Home
Mar 2026
Aarhus
0 - 0
Brondby
Draw
Oct 2025
Aarhus(A)
3 - 3
Brondby
Draw
Sep 2025
Aarhus
1 - 0
Brondby
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)9
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)3
Brondby — winless run (away)1
Brondby — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Aarhus Win (1)48%
Draw (X)27%
Brondby Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
59%
47%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
41%
53%
-1.5
71%
76%
-2.5
88%
82%
-3.5
94%
88%
-4.5
100%
Aarhus vs Brondby — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Aarhus — scored (home)1.88
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
Brondby — scored (away)1.06
Brondby — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.41
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)59%
Brondby — BTTS matches (away)29%
Combined (simple average)44%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Aarhus (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8
Brondby (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Aarhus
9
14
9
4
14
Brondby
7
9
6
17
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Aarhus (home)
For1.3
Brondby (away)
For2.4
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.555%
Under 25.545%
Expected total shots27.24
Aarhus
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots15.06
On Target Over 3.579%
On Target Over 4.564%
On Target Over 5.549%
Expected on target5.67
Brondby
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.18
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.25
Shots per Game
Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
Brondby — total shots (away)14.1
Shots on Target
Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
Brondby — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Aarhus
Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5
Brondby
Inside the box9.39
Outside the box4.79
Player Shots Aarhus
T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Brondby
J. Ambæk
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target26%
Clement Bischoff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Vallys
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Bundgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarhus xG (home)1.97
Brondby xG (away)1.64
Average Possession
53.56%
Possession
51.18%
Team Comparison Aarhus vs Brondby
83.03%
Pass accuracy
83.06%
478.44
Passes per match
468.18
-0.18
Goals prevented
0.25
10.97
Fouls committed
12.36
3.13
Goalkeeper saves
3.58
1.72
Offsides
1.59
16.09
Tackles per match
16.76
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Aarhus vs Brondby prediction analysis
Review Aarhus vs Brondby with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights