Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs Brondby

Aarhus vs Brondby prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Superliga 2025-09-21 16:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Brondby
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Aarhus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate56%

Brondby (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aarhus
WWWDD
Brondby
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 56%
50% +1.5 31%
25% +2.5 13%
19% +3.5 6%
13% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Brondby averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
31%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Aarhus 1 - 1 Brondby Draw
May 2026 Aarhus(A) 2 - 0 Brondby Home
Mar 2026 Aarhus 0 - 0 Brondby Draw
Oct 2025 Aarhus(A) 3 - 3 Brondby Draw
Sep 2025 Aarhus 1 - 0 Brondby Home

In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)8
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)2
Brondby — winless run (away)0
Brondby — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aarhus Win (1)40%
Draw (X)31%
Brondby Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 56%
50% +1.5 31%
25% +2.5 13%
19% +3.5 6%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 44%
50% -1.5 69%
75% -2.5 87%
81% -3.5 94%
87% -4.5 100%

Aarhus vs Brondby — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aarhus — scored (home)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
Brondby — scored (away)1.06
Brondby — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals1.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)56%
Brondby — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)40.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aarhus (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8

Brondby (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4
Brondby
10 7 9 6 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Aarhus (home)

For1.3

Brondby (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
Brondby — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
Brondby — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Brondby

Inside the box9.39
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Brondby

J. Ambæk
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target26%
Clement Bischoff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Vallys
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Bundgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus xG (home)1.97
Brondby xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

53.56% Possession 51.18%

Team Comparison Aarhus vs Brondby

83.03% Pass accuracy 83.06%
478.44 Passes per match 468.18
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.25
10.97 Fouls committed 12.36
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.58
1.72 Offsides 1.59
16.09 Tackles per match 16.76

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aarhus vs Brondby prediction analysis

Review Aarhus vs Brondby with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top