Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen

Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-11-30 13:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Copenhagen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
24%
2
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Aarhus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate56%

FC Copenhagen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.18
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aarhus
WWWDD
FC Copenhagen
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 65%
25% +2.5 41%
19% +3.5 18%
13% +4.5 6%
56% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while FC Copenhagen averages 2.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
24%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Aarhus 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen Home
Aug 2025 Aarhus(A) 3 - 2 FC Copenhagen Home
Apr 2025 Aarhus 1 - 3 FC Copenhagen Away
Apr 2025 Aarhus(A) 1 - 3 FC Copenhagen Away
Nov 2024 Aarhus 1 - 1 FC Copenhagen Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)8
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)2
FC Copenhagen — winless run (away)0
FC Copenhagen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aarhus Win (1)39%
Draw (X)24%
FC Copenhagen Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 65%
25% +2.5 41%
19% +3.5 18%
13% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 12%
50% -1.5 35%
75% -2.5 59%
81% -3.5 82%
87% -4.5 94%

Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aarhus — scored (home)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
FC Copenhagen — scored (away)2.18
FC Copenhagen — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)56%
FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aarhus (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8

FC Copenhagen (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4
FC Copenhagen
14 10 7 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.564%
Under 2.536%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Aarhus (home)

For1.3

FC Copenhagen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
FC Copenhagen — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
FC Copenhagen — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box11.85
Outside the box5.73

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target32%
M. Elyounoussi
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus xG (home)1.97
FC Copenhagen xG (away)2.15

Average Possession

53.56% Possession 55.06%

Team Comparison Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen

83.03% Pass accuracy 82.88%
478.44 Passes per match 522.52
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.19
10.97 Fouls committed 12.12
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.72 Offsides 1.88
16.09 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen prediction analysis

Review Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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