Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-08-03 14:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
26%
2
37%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Aarhus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate56%

FC Midtjylland (Away)

Goals scored / match1.81
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aarhus
WWWDD
FC Midtjylland
LDDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 56%
25% +2.5 31%
19% +3.5 19%
13% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while FC Midtjylland averages 1.81 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
26%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Aarhus 0 - 0 FC Midtjylland Draw
Apr 2026 Aarhus(A) 1 - 2 FC Midtjylland Away
Mar 2026 Aarhus(A) 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland Draw
Feb 2026 Aarhus 0 - 1 FC Midtjylland Away
Nov 2025 Aarhus(A) 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)8
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)2
FC Midtjylland — winless run (away)2
FC Midtjylland — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aarhus Win (1)37%
Draw (X)26%
FC Midtjylland Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 56%
25% +2.5 31%
19% +3.5 19%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 25%
50% -1.5 44%
75% -2.5 69%
81% -3.5 81%
87% -4.5 100%

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aarhus — scored (home)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
FC Midtjylland — scored (away)1.81
FC Midtjylland — conceded (away)0.75
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)56%
FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aarhus (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8

FC Midtjylland (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4
FC Midtjylland
11 9 8 12 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Aarhus (home)

For1.3

FC Midtjylland (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
FC Midtjylland — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
FC Midtjylland — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.69

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%
Júnior Brumado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Şimşir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus xG (home)1.97
FC Midtjylland xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

53.56% Possession 53.84%

Team Comparison Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland

83.03% Pass accuracy 80.09%
478.44 Passes per match 427.5
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.4
10.97 Fouls committed 12.91
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.72 Offsides 2.03
16.09 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland prediction analysis

Review Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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