Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs Odense
Aarhus vs Odense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Superliga
2026-08-21
17:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Odense
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
23%
2
23%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Aarhus (Home)
Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Odense (Away)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Aarhus
DWWWD
Odense
LLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
76%
47%
+1.5
35%
24%
+2.5
18%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Aarhus averages 1.88 goals scored at home, while Odense averages 1.35 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
23%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Aarhus
2 - 1
Odense
Home
Dec 2025
Aarhus
3 - 1
Odense
Home
Dec 2025
Aarhus(A)
0 - 1
Odense
Away
Aug 2025
Aarhus(A)
5 - 1
Odense
Home
Mar 2024
Aarhus
1 - 1
Odense
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)9
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)3
Odense — winless run (away)2
Odense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Aarhus Win (1)55%
Draw (X)23%
Odense Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
76%
47%
+1.5
35%
24%
+2.5
18%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
24%
53%
-1.5
65%
76%
-2.5
82%
82%
-3.5
94%
88%
-4.5
100%
Aarhus vs Odense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Aarhus — scored (home)1.88
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
Odense — scored (away)1.35
Odense — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.97
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)59%
Odense — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Aarhus (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8
Odense (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Aarhus
9
14
9
4
14
Odense
17
7
11
11
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Aarhus (home)
For1.3
Odense (away)
For1.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.10
Aarhus
Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.63
On Target Over 3.578%
On Target Over 4.563%
On Target Over 5.547%
Expected on target5.58
Odense
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.46
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.07
Shots per Game
Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
Odense — total shots (away)11.4
Shots on Target
Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
Odense — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Aarhus
Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5
Odense
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.78
Player Shots Aarhus
T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Odense
N. Ganaus
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Arp
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Grot
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Suhonen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Niemiec
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarhus xG (home)1.97
Odense xG (away)1.69
Average Possession
53.56%
Possession
51.41%
Team Comparison Aarhus vs Odense
83.03%
Pass accuracy
83.31%
478.44
Passes per match
506.63
-0.18
Goals prevented
0.16
10.97
Fouls committed
11.53
3.13
Goalkeeper saves
2.77
1.72
Offsides
1.63
16.09
Tackles per match
17.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Aarhus vs Odense prediction analysis
Review Aarhus vs Odense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights