What markets are included in the Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs Sonderjyske

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-11-09 17:00

Aarhus

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sonderjyske

Away

Prediction Summary

56%

24%

20%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Aarhus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match0.88

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate56%

Sonderjyske (Away)

Goals scored / match1.19

Goals conceded / match1.81

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aarhus

WWWDD

Sonderjyske

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 69%

50% +1.5 44%

25% +2.5 6%

19% +3.5 0%

13% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Sonderjyske averages 1.19 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Aarhus 2 - 1 Sonderjyske Home

Mar 2026 Aarhus(A) 1 - 1 Sonderjyske Draw

Nov 2025 Aarhus 2 - 3 Sonderjyske Away

Oct 2025 Aarhus 2 - 1 Sonderjyske Home

Jul 2025 Aarhus(A) 1 - 1 Sonderjyske Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)8

Aarhus — scoring streak (home)2

Sonderjyske — winless run (away)0

Sonderjyske — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aarhus Win (1)56%

Draw (X)24%

Sonderjyske Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 69%

50% +1.5 44%

25% +2.5 6%

19% +3.5 0%

13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 31%

50% -1.5 56%

75% -2.5 94%

81% -3.5 100%

87% -4.5 100%

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aarhus — scored (home)1.94

Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88

Sonderjyske — scored (away)1.19

Sonderjyske — conceded (away)1.81

Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)56%

Sonderjyske — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aarhus (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against2.8

Sonderjyske (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aarhus

10 9 14 9 4

Sonderjyske

11 10 14 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Aarhus (home)

For1.3

Sonderjyske (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4

Sonderjyske — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Aarhus — on target (home)6.6

Sonderjyske — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13

Outside the box5.5

Sonderjyske

Inside the box8.19

Outside the box3.91

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target31%

Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target19%

P. Mortensen

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

Kevin Yakob

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Links

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Sonderjyske

L. Qamili

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target12%

M. Hoppe

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Agger

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Ingason

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target7%

O. Hyseni

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus xG (home)1.97

Sonderjyske xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

53.56% Possession 43.97%

Team Comparison Aarhus vs Sonderjyske

83.03% Pass accuracy 78.44%

478.44 Passes per match 392.31

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.01

10.97 Fouls committed 11.47

3.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.91

1.72 Offsides 1.65

16.09 Tackles per match 17.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction analysis

Review Aarhus vs Sonderjyske with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights