Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aarhus vs Vejle

Aarhus vs Vejle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-08-24 16:00
Aarhus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Vejle
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
20%
2
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Aarhus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate56%

Vejle (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2.13
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aarhus
WWWDD
Vejle
WWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 63%
50% +1.5 19%
25% +2.5 6%
19% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Vejle averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Aarhus(A) 2 - 1 Vejle Home
Aug 2025 Aarhus 1 - 0 Vejle Home
Mar 2025 Aarhus(A) 2 - 3 Vejle Away
Aug 2024 Aarhus 5 - 1 Vejle Home
Feb 2024 Aarhus(A) 0 - 0 Vejle Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Aarhus won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Aarhus — unbeaten run (home)8
Aarhus — scoring streak (home)2
Vejle — winless run (away)0
Vejle — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aarhus Win (1)64%
Draw (X)20%
Vejle Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 63%
50% +1.5 19%
25% +2.5 6%
19% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 37%
50% -1.5 81%
75% -2.5 94%
81% -3.5 100%
87% -4.5 100%

Aarhus vs Vejle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aarhus — scored (home)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (home)0.88
Vejle — scored (away)0.88
Vejle — conceded (away)2.13
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Aarhus — BTTS matches (home)56%
Vejle — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aarhus (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.8

Vejle (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4
Vejle
7 14 9 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Aarhus (home)

For1.3

Vejle (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Aarhus — total shots (home)18.4
Vejle — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Aarhus — on target (home)6.6
Vejle — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Vejle

Inside the box7
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Vejle

M. Duelund
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Gammelgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target9%
T. Bach
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target5%
Amin Chiakha
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Velkov
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus xG (home)1.97
Vejle xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

53.56% Possession 44.63%

Team Comparison Aarhus vs Vejle

83.03% Pass accuracy 76.22%
478.44 Passes per match 387.59
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.24
10.97 Fouls committed 12.47
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.72 Offsides 1.52
16.09 Tackles per match 18.69

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aarhus vs Vejle prediction analysis

Review Aarhus vs Vejle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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