Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Celtic

Aberdeen vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-08-10 11:30
Aberdeen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
25%
2
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen
LLWDW
Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
25%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Aberdeen 1 - 2 Celtic Away
Dec 2025 Aberdeen(A) 1 - 3 Celtic Away
Aug 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 2 Celtic Away
May 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Celtic Draw
May 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 5 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0
Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)38%
Draw (X)25%
Celtic Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

Aberdeen vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47
Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.556%
Under 10.544%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.7

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen
11 9 6 7 9
Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box3.87

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Aouchiche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Nisbet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Polvara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Celtic

76.18% Pass accuracy 86.13%
392.42 Passes per match 602.87
-0.41 Goals prevented -0.28
14.29 Fouls committed 12.42
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.81 Offsides 1.5
15.63 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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