Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd

Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-27 17:45
Aberdeen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
25%
2
32%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen
LLWDW
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 47%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
25%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Aberdeen 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Feb 2026 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 0 Dundee Utd Draw
Dec 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
Sep 2025 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Dundee Utd Away
May 2025 Aberdeen(A) 1 - 2 Dundee Utd Away

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0
Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)43%
Draw (X)25%
Dundee Utd Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 47%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 53%
84% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47
Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.7

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen
11 9 6 7 9
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box3.87

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Aouchiche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Nisbet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Polvara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd

76.18% Pass accuracy 68.03%
392.42 Passes per match 314.68
-0.41 Goals prevented -0.18
14.29 Fouls committed 12.89
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.81 Offsides 1.69
15.63 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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