Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-10-26 14:30
Aberdeen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen
LLWDW
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
32%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Aberdeen 2 - 0 Hibernian Home
Dec 2025 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Hibernian Away
Oct 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 2 Hibernian Away
Apr 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Hibernian Home
Feb 2025 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Hibernian Away

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0
Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)37%
Draw (X)32%
Hibernian Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 47%
84% -2.5 79%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Aberdeen vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47
Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.7

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen
11 9 6 7 9
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box3.87

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Aouchiche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Nisbet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Polvara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Hibernian

76.18% Pass accuracy 77.37%
392.42 Passes per match 392.29
-0.41 Goals prevented -0.28
14.29 Fouls committed 11.05
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.81 Offsides 1.81
15.63 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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