What markets are included in the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-14 15:00

Aberdeen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Kilmarnock

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

24%

27%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Kilmarnock (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match2.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen

LLWDW

Kilmarnock

WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 26%

16% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Kilmarnock averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

24%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock Home

Jan 2026 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 3 Kilmarnock Away

Dec 2025 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock Home

Oct 2025 Aberdeen(A) 1 - 0 Kilmarnock Home

Feb 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock Home

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0

Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0

Kilmarnock — winless run (away)0

Kilmarnock — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)49%

Draw (X)24%

Kilmarnock Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 26%

16% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 74%

84% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47

Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21

Kilmarnock — scored (away)1.16

Kilmarnock — conceded (away)2.11

Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%

Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.577%

Under 8.523%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.558%

Under 10.542%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.7

Kilmarnock (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen

11 9 6 7 9

Kilmarnock

11 12 5 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Kilmarnock (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5

Kilmarnock — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4

Kilmarnock — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box3.87

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66

Outside the box3.68

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Aouchiche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Nisbet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Polvara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

S. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Hugill

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

Findlay Curtis

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Kiltie

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Daniels

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06

Kilmarnock xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 42.45%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

76.18% Pass accuracy 73.08%

392.42 Passes per match 348.76

-0.41 Goals prevented 0.03

14.29 Fouls committed 13.13

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.55

1.81 Offsides 1.84

15.63 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights