What markets are included in the Aberdeen vs Motherwell prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Aberdeen vs Motherwell prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-09 15:00

Aberdeen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Motherwell

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

26%

37%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen

LLWDW

Motherwell

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 37%

16% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

26%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Aberdeen 2 - 0 Motherwell Home

Feb 2026 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Motherwell Away

Nov 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Motherwell Draw

Sep 2025 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Motherwell Away

Sep 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 1 Motherwell Away

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0

Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0

Motherwell — winless run (away)0

Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)37%

Draw (X)26%

Motherwell Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 37%

16% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 63%

84% -2.5 79%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Aberdeen vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47

Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21

Motherwell — scored (away)1.42

Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%

Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.7

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen

11 9 6 7 9

Motherwell

12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5

Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4

Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box3.87

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Aouchiche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Nisbet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Polvara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

S. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target37%

C. Slattery

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Just

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Stamatelopoulos

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

C. Hendry

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06

Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Motherwell

76.18% Pass accuracy 84.5%

392.42 Passes per match 533

-0.41 Goals prevented -0.06

14.29 Fouls committed 11.66

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.63

1.81 Offsides 2.24

15.63 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights