Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aberdeen vs Rangers

Aberdeen vs Rangers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-01-11 16:30
Aberdeen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Rangers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
26%
2
45%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Aberdeen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Rangers (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aberdeen
LLWDW
Rangers
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 47%
16% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 11%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Aberdeen averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Rangers averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Aberdeen(A) 1 - 4 Rangers Away
Jan 2026 Aberdeen 0 - 2 Rangers Away
Jan 2026 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 2 Rangers Away
May 2025 Aberdeen(A) 0 - 4 Rangers Away
Apr 2025 Aberdeen 2 - 2 Rangers Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Aberdeen — unbeaten run (home)0
Aberdeen — scoring streak (home)0
Rangers — winless run (away)0
Rangers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aberdeen Win (1)29%
Draw (X)26%
Rangers Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 47%
16% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 5%
63% -1.5 53%
84% -2.5 74%
89% -3.5 89%
95% -4.5 89%

Aberdeen vs Rangers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aberdeen — scored (home)1.47
Aberdeen — conceded (home)1.21
Rangers — scored (away)1.95
Rangers — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (home)47%
Rangers — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.561%
Under 10.539%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aberdeen (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.7

Rangers (away)

Corners for6.8
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aberdeen
11 9 6 7 9
Rangers
12 8 8 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Aberdeen (home)

For2.0

Rangers (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Aberdeen — total shots (home)12.5
Rangers — total shots (away)14.9

Shots on Target

Aberdeen — on target (home)4.4
Rangers — on target (away)5.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box3.87

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Aouchiche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Nisbet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Polvara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen xG (home)1.06
Rangers xG (away)1.85

Average Possession

48.05% Possession 57.97%

Team Comparison Aberdeen vs Rangers

76.18% Pass accuracy 82.95%
392.42 Passes per match 470.21
-0.41 Goals prevented -0.6
14.29 Fouls committed 12.16
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.81 Offsides 1.58
15.63 Tackles per match 17.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aberdeen vs Rangers prediction analysis

Review Aberdeen vs Rangers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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