What markets are included in the AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-20 18:45

AC Milan

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Atalanta

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

26%

46%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match0.84

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan

WLWWW

Atalanta

LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 84%

47% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 42%

5% +3.5 26%

0% +4.5 11%

47% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

AC Milan averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

26%

Away Win

46%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta Away

Oct 2025 AC Milan(A) 1 - 1 Atalanta Draw

Apr 2025 AC Milan 0 - 1 Atalanta Away

Dec 2024 AC Milan(A) 1 - 2 Atalanta Away

Feb 2024 AC Milan 1 - 1 Atalanta Draw

In the last 5 meetings, AC Milan won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)2

AC Milan — scoring streak (home)2

Atalanta — winless run (away)0

Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)28%

Draw (X)26%

Atalanta Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 84%

47% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 42%

5% +3.5 26%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 16%

53% -1.5 42%

74% -2.5 58%

95% -3.5 74%

100% -4.5 89%

AC Milan vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.58

AC Milan — conceded (home)0.84

Atalanta — scored (away)2.21

Atalanta — conceded (away)0.68

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)47%

Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.3

Atalanta (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan

9 15 7 6 10

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For1.7

Atalanta (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)15.6

Atalanta — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)4.9

Atalanta — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box9.55

Outside the box5.26

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

Player Shots AC Milan

I. Bennacer

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Emerson Royal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target16%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.67

Atalanta xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

54.08% Possession 55.32%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Atalanta

87.21% Pass accuracy 84.53%

465.32 Passes per match 506.58

-0.26 Goals prevented 0.11

10.92 Fouls committed 11.45

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

1.67 Offsides 1.54

14.53 Tackles per match 14.97

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights