Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV

AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2024-10-22 16:45
AC Milan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Club Brugge KV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Club Brugge KV (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan
DLLWW
Club Brugge KV
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 83%
40% +1.5 17%
20% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
80% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

AC Milan averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Club Brugge KV averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 AC Milan 3 - 1 Club Brugge KV Home

In the last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)4
AC Milan — scoring streak (home)5
Club Brugge KV — winless run (away)1
Club Brugge KV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Club Brugge KV Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 83%
40% +1.5 17%
20% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 17%
60% -1.5 83%
80% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.6
AC Milan — conceded (home)1.2
Club Brugge KV — scored (away)1.17
Club Brugge KV — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)80%
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.519%
Under 9.581%
Over 10.59%
Under 10.591%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.6

Club Brugge KV (away)

Corners for2.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan
10 9 9 11 7
Club Brugge KV
6 6 14 4 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For3.0

Club Brugge KV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)15.6
Club Brugge KV — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)5.8
Club Brugge KV — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box6

Club Brugge KV

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.25

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Reijnders
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Club Brugge KV

C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Skov Olsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Talbi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%
Ferran Jutglà
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Jashari
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.37
Club Brugge KV xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

53.1% Possession 43.83%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV

87.5% Pass accuracy 86%
484.8 Passes per match 458.42
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.06
10.6 Fouls committed 8.67
4.1 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
1.4 Offsides 1
14.9 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Club Brugge KV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top